Friday 23 September 2016

Rugby Betting Week 3 - Friday Night PRO12 Games

Game 1: 7.05pm - Bennetton Treviso v Newport-Gwent Dragons

Treviso - 2, OVER/UNDER 41.5
Treviso are a better side than we give them credit for. The Dragons are worse than we think.

Treviso have started the season well, have a host of Italian internationals and quality imports in their side, and are at home.

They should win this game, and it wouldn't be a surprise. The idea that they are giving points is probably fair, but it does make you stop at pause.

Treviso's defense has kept Ulster and Leinster quiet however, so under 41.5 points looks attractive. I'd lean Treviso without taking the bet, but I'm taking the under.

Under 41.5 points, 1 unit.

Game 2: 7.35pm - Glasgow Warriors v Ulster

Glasgow - 3, OVER/UNDER 43.5
Glasgow are the best side in the tournament, and Ulster are the second best. Ulster welcome back Jared Payne to full-back, which sees Charles Piutau move to the wing. That will be interesting to watch how that plays out. Ulster's backs are their strength, with their pack a little light-weight. It's good enough to beat average teams - but not this Glasgow heavyweight. The pitch should be fast, so it could be a good game - but I'd expect Glasgow to win by 4-7 points.

Glasgow -3, 1 unit; Over 43.5, 2 units.

Game 2: 7.35pm - Leinster v Ospreys

Leinster - 6, OVER/UNDER 40.5
I'm not certain that Leinster will win this game, and the Ospreys are getting six points. That seems generous. It's the first time we've seen Johnny Sexton and Jamie Heaslip this season, while the Ospreys are welcoming back Dan Biggar. That means both sides could be a little rusty as their generals ease themselves back into the game. This Leinster side haven't looked like they are certain they know how to attack in their games this season, whilst the Ospreys have been on fire.

Ospreys +6, 2 units, Under 40.5 points, 1 unit.

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