Lions Test Places - Part 1

Two games in, it's a good opportunity to look at test places, who has put their hand up, and those who have firmly rested on their laurels, and are just happy to be there.

Loosehead:

Not many things can be concluded with Cian Healy's injury, although Mako Vunipola has validated his place on tour, and is in contention for test consideration, most likely on the bench.

Hooker:

Hibbard went ok in Hong Kong, and Youngs hasn't had much opportunity, but Rory Best was average around the park, and two bad lineouts after the 6 Nations are a big black mark on him.

Tighthead:

There isn't much you can conclude from these games. Both Cole and Jones seemed to have the upper hand in the scrum, but neither were very prominent in the loose. Cole probably gains more, but Jones is still ahead.

Second Row:

O'Connell was magnificent in the Hong Kong game and must be nailed on. Alun Wyn Jones would be next, although was anonymous against the Force, and the yellow card will be a black mark. Gray did well against the Barbarians, but needs to show more after his poor season, while Parling was the best second row on display today, albeit from the bench and can't be discounted.

Flankers:

The most competitive place, Justin Tipuric was very good against the Barbarians, as was Sean O'Brien against the Force. They are the form pair, with Croft getting a try he's not far away, although Lydiate performed well last Saturday. With captain Warburton assured of his place, Tipuric has to play amazing to persuade Gatland to move Warbs to 6. Although Sean O'Brien needs a chance at 6 too. Big competition here.

No. 8.

via telegraph.co.uk

While not nailed on yet, I think Heaslip great performance today edges him ahead of Faletau. Top tackler, most metres gained, with 16 carries including 5 linebreaks, Heaslip has carried on from his impressive end of season form. He is also a better lineout option than Faletau which will be vital.

Scrumhalf:

Phillips all but pencilled himself in last week, and while Murray did well on Saturday and comes into contention for the bench spot, he wasn't as good today, while Youngs hasn't had a chance.

Outhalf:

It's Sexton's. End of story, hopefully Farrell's try today gives him confidence and means he can do well when coming on.

Centres:

via rugby365.com

Brian O'Driscoll was outstanding today, showing pace and quickness of thought. He was everywhere rolling back the years. He must start. Jon Davies was lauded on Saturday, but I don't think he is in O'Driscoll's league. Tuilagi did well today, and his partnership with O'Driscoll might be worth looking at, but Roberts was prominent on Saturday and is ahead of him at 12.

Wingers:

via telegraph.co.uk

Tommy Bowe showed a great work ethic, and his great finishing, and running lines and given his freshness seems to be coming into form at the right time. He must start on one wing, with George North playing well, and Cuthbert finishing well, it must be between the two Welsh wings for the other slot.

Fullback:

Halfpenny is miles ahead of the rest, especially with his flawless kicking. Hogg did very well against the Barbarians, and his time will come, but perhaps not on this tour. The only way Kearney can come into contention, especially after the injury, is if Israel Folau dominates in the air in the first test, and Halfpenny is moved to the wing to accomodate his aerial ability. Not to be discounted.

Lions Reaction

I wasn't planning on writing a piece about this, but some things can't go without a rant.

While I may have guessed 31 out of the 37 going, a lot of poor decisions were made.

Central to my frustration is the inclusion of Dylan Hartley, which I am not alone in, and said so in advance:

It will be a relief for everyone Hartley and Ashton won't be going. They'd be very annoying for the more cultured, learned Lions on tour.
— Whiff of Cordite (@WhiffofCordite) April 30, 2013

Realistically, as long as Ashton and Hartley don't go, I'll be quite happy.
— BallHandling Hooker (@BHHooker) April 29, 2013

Dylan Hartley is a good player, and on reflection, possibly isn't the worst player that has ever, or will ever play for the Lions. 

But the Lions aren't picked solely for their playing credentials. 6 weeks with completely new teammates need good personalities, likeable people and the success on the field is directly related with team harmony on it.

Team harmony is something that will be helped by situations with this: 

Hartley's record includes: 

• 26 week ban for gouging two different players in the same game, 
• 8 week ban for biting
• 2 week ban for elbowing

Hartley's inclusion comes ahead of Rory Best, Ken Owen, Richardt Strauss, Ross Ford, Sean Cronin and Dougie Hall.

It's something I really can't fathom. He isn't the hooker that is strong at ball-carrying and handling.

Rugby Onslaught summed it up well 2 years ago. 

Other less important issues:

Matt Stevens inclusion is a surprise, they might be hoping that his experience will help. Surprised not to see Euan Murray or Mike Ross in there, but it's ok.

Mako Vunipola is an impact player, but is unfit and a horrible scrummaging.

Richie Gray was a name that was a certainty a year ago. He is one of the most out of form players in the world right now. Strange call, but if he's a good player if he can get back to it.

2 Outhalves is a strange call, but was well flagged. Seems strange not to have a back up utility player to cover in the mould of Twelvetrees, Madigan, Hook, Laidlaw or Goode. The options were there. 3 Fullbacks and 2 outhalves seems daft.

I still wouldn't have picked Jonny Wilkinson, good kicker, good defender. Offers nothing else. The game has moved on from then.

Only one recognised Inside Centre is a worse call than the Outhalf position.

Overall the backline looks a bit ordinary. The best explanation of it is:

Really feel the #LionsSquad is missing too many players with a bit of #Woshkabomy.@mattrcnm am I using it right?
— Cillian Hogan (@Cillian_Hogan) April 30, 2013

With no Zebo, or Wade, or Ian Madigan, there seems a lack of spark. Let's hope I'm wrong.

Final Lions Squad

There are no more matches. No more games to "stick your hand up for selection".

Garbhan Hogan, Dermott McMorrough, Leo Hynes, Eric Conway, Ciaran Neilan and myself are competing to see who gets the most correct players in Gatland's squad.
5pts for captain, 2pts for correct player, -1 for incorrect, with a minimum of 35 players picked.

Here are the 37 men I would have in the Lions squad, plus extras.

Lions Squad 2013

I would pick Paul O'Connell as captain, but Gatland is going to go with Sam Warburton.

Loosehead:

Cian Healy and Gethin Jenkins, (Tough choice no.1) with Ryan Grant edging out Mako Vunipola and Paul James and Andrew Sheridan unavailable. Gone for Grant's overall great form in 2012/13 and better scrummaging than Vunipola.

Hooker:

Rory Best and Richard Hibbard, (Tough choice no.2) and Tom Youngs will edge out Richardt Strauss and Ross Ford, no matter what I want. Still think Strauss would be better.

Tighthead:

Adam Jones and Dan Cole are joined by (Tough choice no.3) Mike Ross, with Euan Murray missing out. I think the scrum nerd will appeal to Rowntree.

Second Rows:

Paul O'Connell, Alun Wyn Jones, Ian Evans and (Tough choice no.4)  Jim Hamilton beating Geoff Parling  joined by (Tough choice no.5) Tom Croft, with Hines unlikely to be available and Donnacha Ryan just missing out.

Blindside:

Sean O'Brien and (Tough choice no. 6) Dan Lydiate, with Chris Robshaw just missing out.

Openside:

Sam Warburton and Justin Tipuric.

No. 8:

Toby Faletau, with Jamie Heaslip sneaking in by the skin of his teeth.

Scrumhalf:

Mike Phillips and Ben Youngs , with (Tough choice no. 7) Conor Murray beating  Greig Laidlaw who is
so unlucky to miss out.

Outhalf:

Jonny Sexton and (Tough choice no. 8) Rhys Priestland recovering and overtaking Owen Farrell after the semi-final. Biggar is close too.

Inside Centre:

Jamie Roberts is joined by (Tough choice no. 9) Owen Farrell, beating Brad Barritt, James Hook and Ian Madigan, Billy Twelvetrees

Outside Centre:

Brian O'Driscoll and Manu Tuilagi, with Jonathan Davies sneaking on to cover at 12.

Back Three:

Leigh Halfpenny, George North, Alex Cuthbert, Simon Zebo and Tommy Bowe are joined by (Tough
choice no.10 & 11) Rob Kearney beating Stuart Hogg, and Sean Maitland beating Tim Visser.


Standby: Paul James, Ross Ford, Euan Murray, Donnacha Ryan, Nathan Hines, Chris Robshaw, Johnnie Beattie, Greig Laidlaw, Danny Care, Ian Madigan, James Hook, Tim Visser, Stuart Hogg

Garbhan’s Lions Squad – 2013

Captain: Paul O’Connell (it should be BOD)

Loose-Heads:

· Cian Healy
· Gethin Jenkins

Hookers:

· Rory Best
· Richard Hibbard
· Richardt Strauss

Tight-Heads:

· Dan Cole
· Adam Jones
· Mike Ross

2nd Rows:

· Paul O’Connell
· Donnacha Ryan
· Alun Wyn Jones
· Nathan Hines
· Joe Launchbury

Backrows:

· Sean O’Brien
· Jamie Heaslip
· Justin Tipuric
· Toby Faletau
· Johnnie Beattie
· Tom Wood
· Sam Warburton

Scrumhalves:

· Danny Care
· Ben Youngs
· Greg Laidlaw

Fly-Halves:

· Johnny Sexton
· Owen Farrell

Centres:

· Brian O’Driscoll
· Manu the Samoan lad
· Jamie Roberts
· Billy Twelvetrees

Back 3s:

· Rob Kearney
· Leigh Halfpenny
· Stuart Hogg
· George North
· Simon Zebo
· Tommy Bowe
· Sean Maitland

Ciaran’s Lions Squad – 2013

Fullbacks: Kearney, Halfpenny, Goode. 

Wings: Zzzebo, North, Bowe, Cuthbert.

Centres: GOD, Tuiliangi, Davies, Roberts.

Tens: Sexto, Wilko, Farrell, Mad dog.

9’s: Murray, Philips and that young fella Youngs.

Props: Healy, Cole, Ross, Jenkins, Jones.

Hookers: Best, Hibbard, Youngs.

2nd row: O’connell, Wyn Jones, Ryan, Gray, Toner.

Flankers: SO’B, Warburton, Robshaw, Tipuric, O’Mahony, Lydiate.

8: Heaslip, Falalalateau.

Capt: One more year.

Total: 38

Eric's Lions 2013 (37)

Forwards (20)

Props (6) - Healy, Jenkins, Ross, A Jones, Cole, Corbisiero

Hookers (3) - Best, Hibbard, Youngs

Locks (4) - O’Connell, Parling, Wyn-Jones, Gray

Flankers (5) - O’Brien, Tipuric, Warburton, Robshaw, R Jones

No.8 (2) - Faletau, Heaslip

Backs (17)

Scrumhalf (3) - Youngs, Murray, Phillips

Outhalf (3) – Sexton, Farrell, Madigan

Centre (4) – Tuilagi, Davies, O’Driscoll (Tour captain), Roberts

Wings (4) – Bowe, Cuthbert, North, Wade

Fullback (3) – Kearney, Hogg, Halfpenny

Ireland: 12

England: 9

Wales: 14

Scotland: 4

Dermott’s Lions Squad – 2013

Props:

Healy, Jones, Jenkins, Cole, Murray, Grant

Hookers:

Best, Hibbard, Youngs

2nd Rows:

O'Connell, Wyn-Jones, Evans, Parling, Ryan

Blindside:

O'Brien, Falatau, Croft

Openside:

Warburton (C), Robshaw, Tipuric

No. 8:

Heaslip

Scrumhalves:

Philips, Youngs, Laidlaw

Fly-Halves:

Sexton, Biggar, Farrell

Inside Centres:

Roberts, Madigan

Outside Centres:

O'Driscoll, Davies, Tuilagi

Wingers:

North, Zebo,Cuthbert

Fullbacks:

Halfpenny, Kearney, Hogg

Leo’s Lions Squad – 2013

Full-backs:

Halfpenny
Kearney
Hogg

Wings:

Cuthbert
North
Visser
Zebo

Centres:

O'Driscoll
Tuilagi
Roberts
Davies

Outhalfs:

Sexton
Farrell
Biggar

Scrumhalfs:

Phillips
Youngs
Laidlaw

Backrows:

Faletau
Heaslip
O'Brien
Warburton
Tipuric
Robshaw

Second Rows:

O'Connell (Captain)
Al Jones
Parling
Evans

Looseheads:

Jenkins
Sheridan
Healy

Hookers:

Best
Hibbard
Strauss

Tightheads:

Cole
Jones

It's a Massive Weekend for...

Luke Charteris

The forgotten man plays for Perpignan. Had a stellar 6 Nations a year ago and it's conceivable a strong performance might remind Gatland of his qualities. His chances are slim, but not non-existent.

James Hook

With Gatland declaring that there will only be 2 out-halves, Hook's versatility and familiarity with Gatland might be in his favour. He's been missing from Wales in recent years, but a big performance would help his cause. PERPIGNAN IN TOP 14?

Cian Healy

Healy still has some doubters in England, Wales and Scotland, especially over his scrummaging and discipline. A strong showing in the tight against a Biarritz scrum will do wonders in his battle for a Test spot.

Richardt Strauss

As a complete alternative at hooker, Strauss brings a different set of skills than Tom Youngs and Richard Hibbard. An influential performance might sneak him onto the plane, after injury wrecked his chances of impressing in the 6 Nations.

Mike Ross

In what appears to be a two way battle for the third tighthead spot, Mike Ross has an extra go at impressing the watching Howley and Rowntree. Euan Murray is the other contender, and a dominant scrum performance would help his cause and extend his season even longer.

Jamie Heaslip

Jamie Heaslip has come in for a lot of criticism this year. A matchup against Imanol Harinordoquoy is not a meaningless challenge, and maybe Heaslip can show he can still put in the big performances. It's been a big fall from grace for him, but he's not out of it yet.

Jonny Sexton

Just back from injury, Gatland will want his main man match fit come Lions time. Is this game too soon for him though? Great opportunity to shore up the test spot.

Ian Madigan

Still has an outside bet for the Lions, however small, although it might be in his favour to be seen play well at 12. Not that that will help. This game is important for him going forward in Leinster, and whether he starts or not and how that effects him. He's in form right now.

Brian O'Driscoll

How the great man isn't class a shoe in for the test yet is beyond me. One last chance to prove what he brings to the team is more than his skills, but his influence and leadership pn his teammates.

Rob Kearney

For me, Kearney has gone from a definite, to missing out completely. He's still in contention, but needs to show the world that he can get back into form.

Nathan Hines

He's an automatic choice for me, and despite Clermont almost guaranteed to be in the Top14 final, he must travel.

Lee Byrne

He's a contender, but it's unlikely as I think he's behind Rob Kearney

Paul O'Connell

After that furore, a big performance against a tough pack cements his spot in the Test XV.

Donnacha Ryan

On the edge of the plane, I have him as fighting for the last 2nd row spot on the plane with Nathan Hines. A big chance to get one over on his opposition with a performance.

Peter O'Mahony

His performance against Harlequins earned big reviews and puts him in contention. Probably on a standby list at the moment, but if Munster pull off a miracle, O'Mahony will have been a major reason for it. Outside chance.

Conor Murray

Very much in contention. Almost definitely on the standby list though. A big performance against Morgan Parra would be a big boost to his chances.

Simon Zebo

Zebo has been fantastic this year, and to me is a shoe in for the IRUPA player of the year. He's sneaking onto the plane at the moment, and has the chance to fully get himself inside.

Mako Vunipola

The push from the English media is strong to get him on the plane. He hasn't done enough for me, but if Gatland decides that the French based props aren't worth the hassle, then he is in with a chance.

Matt Stevens

For the sake of completeness. I saw Stevens on someone's selection, and it wouldn't hurt to keep an eye on him tomorrow.

Owen Farrell

The competition for the 2 outhalf spots are fierce, and Farrell has it at the moment, but any slip up against Toulon could open the door to a Madigan or a Biggar charge.

Brad Barritt

The 2nd inside centre berth is arguably still up for grabs. Barritt's defensive capabilities are well documented, can he show us that he has more aspects to his game?

Chris Ashton

I am not a Chris Ashton fan. At all. But he scores too many tries when in form to discount him from the reckoning.

Alex Goode

Still a back three place up for grabs, and with Goode's ability to play ten, he has to be a front runner for the slot.

Andrew Sheridan

A devasting scrummaging performance might mean the hassle would be worth it.

Gethin Jenkins

Not being selected could mean that it's easier for him to leave early?

Wallaby contenders trying to tame the Lions.

January's 46 man squad

Fullbacks: Luke Morahan, Kurtley Beale,
Wingers: Dom Shipperley, Digby Ioane, Drew Mitchell, Joe Tomane, Cooper Vuna, Nick Cummins
Outside Centres: Anthony Fainga'a, Mitch Inman
Inside Centres: Ben Tapuai, Berrick Barnes, Rob Horne, Pat McCabe,
Out-halfs: Quade Cooper, Christina Lealiifano,
Versatile: Ben Lucas, Mike Harris, Adam Ashley-Cooper, James O'Connor
Scrum-half: Will Genia, Nic White, Nick Phipps,
Loosehead: Benn Robinson, Ben Alexander
Hookers: Saia Fainga'a, James Hanson, Tatafu Polatau-Nau, Stephen Moore,
Tighthead: James Slipper, Paddy Ryan, Sekope Kepu, Dan Palmer, Salesi Ma'afu,
Second Row: James Horwill, Rob Simmons, Kane Douglas, Sitaleki Timani, Caderyn Neville, Hugh Pyle, Hugh McMenamin
Blindside: Dave Dennis, Scott Higginbotham, Ben McCalman,
Openside: Liam Gill, Michael Hooper, David Pocock,
No. 8. Jake Schatz, Wyclif Palu,

Glaring Omissions: Pek Cowan, Luke Jones, Israel Folau, Ben Mowen
Shouldn't be there: Luke Morahan, Cooper Vuna, Nick Cummins, Mitch Inman, Mike Harris, Ben Lucas


Recent 30 man squad

Fullbacks: Israel Folau, Jesse Mogg
Wingers:Digby Ioane, Joe Tomane,
Outside Centres
Inside Centres: Ben Tapuai, Pat McCabe, Berrick Barnes,
Out-halfs: Christian Lealiifano,
Versatile: Adam Ashley-Cooper, James O'Connor,
Scrum-half: Nic White, Will Genia,
Loosehead: Ben Alexander, Benn Robinson, Scott Sio,
Hookers: Stephen Moore, Tatafu Polatau-Nau
Tighthead: Dan Palmer, James Slipper,
Second Row: Rob Simmons, James Horwill, Kane Douglas, Sitaleki Timani
Blindside: Dave Dennis, Scott Higginbotham,
Openside: Michael Hooper, Liam Gill,
No. 8. Wyclif Palu, Fotu Auelia, Ben Mowen

Glaring Omissions: Kurtley Beale, Alife Mafi, Drew Mitchell, Rod Davies, Anthony Fainga'a, Kyle Godwin, Quade Cooper, Matt Lucas, Nick Phipps, Luke Burgess, George Smith
Shouldn't be there: Pat McCabe

Full Backs:

Kurtley Beale is the best fullback in Australia. He's one of the top 3 fullbacks in the world. But, understandably, he won't be involved against the Lions.

The Contenders to replace him would be Mogg, Folau, O'Connor, Ashley Cooper and Berrick Barnes. Ashley-Cooper O'Connor and Barnes can play at 15, but it's neithers favourite position.

And why would you play them out of position when Folau, and especially Mogg are in great form. Mogg started the season like a speed train, and is approaching that form again after a small injury disruption, while Folau is still learning the game after converting from Rugby League and Aussie Rules.

Wingers:

The contenders are Digby Ioane, and Joe Tomane, although Deans has said that he can see Israel Folau doing damage on the wing, while James O'Connor frequently plays on the wing for the Wallabies, as can Adam Ashley Cooper.

How Deans can ignore the form of Alfie Mafi and the talent of Drew Mitchell is beyond me. Rod Davies has also been good since he's come back, with 3 tries in two games.

Digby is a cert for one wing, with the other up for grabs.

Outside Centres

From an outsiders perspective, the Wallabies seem to have an overload of playmaking talent in the 10,12 and 15 positions, and a few wingers. They don't have a traditional 13.

Adam Ashley Cooper is probably seen as the only 13 in the squad, although Ben Tapuai, Digby Ioane and Drew Mitchell can play there successfully too. Israel Folau is being touted as a potential 13, but he hasn't played there in his short union career.

I personally think James O'Connor would be best suited to 13.

Inside Centres

James O'Connor, Ben Tapuai, Berrick Barnes, Christian Lealiifano, Pat McCabe, Kyle Godwin are all contenders.

James O'Connor has to play. The question is where. If Quade Cooper isn't going to be trusted it's very likely that he'll be stuck in at 10, with Lealiifano or McCabe fighting it out for the 12 "jumper".

Berrick Barnes is always handy on the bench covering 10, 12 and 15, while Kyle Godwin is a younger, more exciting, more in form, less injury prone and less pornstar moustache than Berrick.

Outhalves

Quade Cooper, with O'Connor, Lealiifano, and Barnes as the other contenders.

Much depends on Dean's plans with Cooper. All others are contenders elsewhere, with the talent of Cooper, and in the form he's in, it would be hard to leave him out.

Scrumhalves

Will Genia is without doubt the best scrumhalf in the world. Kahn Fotauli'i, Ruan Pienaar and Morgan Parra are close, but Genia has a O'Connell like influence on any team he plays for.

He is a general of the team and certain to start.

The big question is who will be the backup. Nick Phipps took over from Genia when he was injured, but Nic White is in better form for the Brumbies. Or with the returning Luke Burgess skip the queue to Genia's no.2?


Loosehead

Scott Sio has been impressive off the bench for the Brumbies. The 21 year old has an exciting future, but I think this will be a few years too soon. Benn Robinson has been the form loosehead and the incumbent. Ben Alexander can play on both sides.

Hooker

When Ireland beat Australia in the World Cup, it would put down to the absence of David Pocock. I think it was equally down to the non-appearance of Stephen Moore, who along with Bismarck du Plessis is one of the best hookers in the world. Moore is solid out of touch, a strong scrummagger, and dynamic around the park.

Tatafu Polata-Nau is ahead of the rest of the field.

Tighthead

Ben Alexander has the ability to play both sides of the scrum, and is the incumbent. Don't rule out James Slipper who has been in outstanding form this season, but there are question marks abouts his scrummaging. Sekope Kepu is motoring along nicely for the Tahs too.

Second Row

James Horwill's stature is growing, and most likely at the end of this Lions tour, he will be respected a lot more by the Northern Hemisphere supporters who don't follow Super Rugby.

Who partners him will be a race, with regular partner Rob Simmons in with a shout, while Timani is in good form for the Tahs. He might be disadvantaged with the announcement of his impending move abroad though. Kane Douglas is also a strong contender.

Blindside

Blindside options are Dave Dennis, Scott Higginbotham and George Smith. With Ben Mowen an option too. Higginbotham hasn't been good in a poor Rebels side, and faces pressure to retain his "jumper".

Much is dependent on the decision at openside.

Openside

One of the most intriguing subplots to almost every week in this year's Super Rugby competition is the battle for the Wallaby 7 jersey. David Pocock, the captain and the incumbent injured his knee and has been ruled out. Fortunately for the Wallabies, unlike in 2011, they have alternatives. And the contenders are in form. The top 3 players who have turned the ball over in this years competition are Michael Hooper, Liam Gill, and George Smith.

Hooper had a breakthrough year last year, starring in the Wallabies tour to Europe, Liam Gill is the even younger pretender who has shone in all aspects this year, and George Smith is the wily veteran, having lost none of his powers and hoping to join a select group who have faced the Lions twice. Smith is versatile enough to play 6 or 8, or even 12 or wherever he wants.

No.8

Wyclif Palu is the injury prone incumbent, with only Fotu Auelua and Ben Mowen challenging, both in great form for the Brumbies. Smith is an option here too.

Much like blindside, it's important to look at the balance of the backrow, and with Smith a live contender in each spot, it's going to be close.

My squad.

In a few weeks, Deans will pull 25 or 26 players from Super Rugby duty that will form his first squad, with a further 6 to join making a 31 man squad
If I were in Dean's position, this is the squad I'd pick, complete with starting XV and subs.

1. Benn Robinson (Waratahs)
2. Stephen Moore (Brumbies
3. James Slipper (Reds)
4. James Horwill (Reds) (c)
5. Sitaleki Timani (Waratahs)
6. George Smith (Brumbies)
7. Liam Gill (Reds)
8. Ben Mowen (Brumbies)
9. Will Genia (Reds) (vc)
10. Quade Cooper (Reds) / Christian Lealiifano (Brumbies) if Cooper isn't selected.
11. Digby Ioane (Reds)
12. James O'Connor (Rebels)
13. Ben Tapuai (Reds)
14. Rod Davies (Reds)
15. Jesse Mogg (Brumbies)
Subs:
16. Tatafu Polata-Nau (Waratahs)
17. Dan Palmer (Brumbies)
18. Ben Alexander (Brumbies)
19. Rob Simmons (Reds)
20. Scott Higginbotham (Rebels)
21. Nic White (Brumbies)
22. Christian Lealiifano (Brumbies) / Berrick Barnes (Waratahs)
23. Israel Folau (Waratahs) (not to be pulled from Super Rugby - needs game time)

Extras:
Michael Hooper (Waratahs) - I'd prefer to have Hooper over Higginbotham, but I couldn't justify having 3 openside flankers in the 23 man squad.
Berrick Barnes (Waratahs) / Kyle Godwin (Force)
Kane Douglas (Waratahs)

To be added: (and Folau)
Alfie Mafi (Force)
Scott Sio (Brumbies)
Adam Ashley-Cooper (Waratahs)
Wyclif Palu (Waratahs)
Kyle Godwin (Force)/ Nick Phipps (Rebels)

Lions watch: End of 6 Nations

Now is the time of year where a lot of people's Lions XV and squads start coming out. I'm actually surprised with the amount of how different some squads are to my views, so here's mine.

I'm going to say who I think are certain tourists, and then come up with logical players to tour outside of that. In my view, playing styles and combinations need to be considered as well as form and quality in picking a touring squad. Not everyone is going to agree with my choices, so as long as I have a logical conclusion, I'm happy.

First, here is the squad I would have picked without any form or injuries back in January. This isn't logical, just based solely on preference, and will give you an idea of my thinking.

15 Kearney, Halfpenny, Foden
Wingers; Bowe, Maitland, North, Fitzgerald
Centres; O'Driscoll, Davies, Roberts, D'Arcy
10s; Sexton, Priestland, Biggar
9; Phillips, Care, Laidlaw
1. Healy, Jenkins, Grant
2, Best, Strauss, Ford
3, Cole, Jones, Murray
2nd Row; O'Connell, AW Jones, Gray, Lawes
6, Ferris, Lydiate, O'Brien
7, Warburton, Tipuric,
8. Heaslip, Faletau

Certain to tour;
15. Halfpenny
14. Cuthbert
12. Roberts
11. North
10. Farrell
9. Phillips
8. Faletau
7. Warburton, Tipuric, Robshaw
5. Alun Wyn Jones
3. Jones, Cole
2. Best, Hibbard.
1. Healy, Jenkins

Fullback.

With Halfpenny one of the few nailed on for a text XV, there are 2 other spots in the touring squad. There were 5 players in contention before the start of the 6 nations; Kearney, Foden, Goode, Brown and Hogg.

Hogg had a fantastic 6 nations and his form was good enough for him to warrant a call up. Kearney has the experience of the 2009 tour, and was talked about for a test definite 12 months ago. His 6 nations wasn't the best, but was it bad enough for him to miss out on the tour altogether. Goode was solid this 6 nations without being spectular. His ability to play at 10 or 12 will help him, but I think he is fighting a losing battle. Brown had a good 6 nations too, but doesn't dominate at international level like he does with Quins. Perhaps a bit too soon for him.

Kearney will undoubtedly be in better form in 3 months time, and Australia are likely to kick more ball to him than any of the teams in the 6 nations did. His experience and assuredness under the high ball should let him retain a tour spot.

Wingers

With North and Cuthbert taking up two spots, I have 2 spots left. Cuthbert's place is there if he recovers from a hamstring injury in time. Other injured players who are returning soon include Bowe and Zebo who were both namechecked by Gatland as injured players in contention. Zebo provides something different with some magic and has the ability to produce something out of nothing which would be a good weapon to have on tour. His enthuasism and personality would be a delight on tour too, so if he comes back from injury then he is in with a big chance. Likewise, Bowe is world class, was in great form before his injury and has the experience. If he can get 2 or 3 games under his belt between now and April 30th, he should also be on the plane. His injury was more serious though, so there is more doubt about him.

Chris Ashton played his way out of contention with a poor performance in the 6 nations. Craig Gilroy, Tim Visser and Sean Maitland are the only other wingers who played in the 6 nations that are in contention. Gilroy also proves a different option, Maitland has Southern Hemisphere experience and is an incredibly intelligent player. Visser is a natural finisher. Wing is one of the tightest positions. I'd have Zebo if he proves his fitness, as I think he is likely to do, and Bowe if he does, but I'm not sure he will.

In terms of balance between the wings, if Zebo doesn't make it, I'd put Gilroy as his replacement, but if Bowe fails to make it, Maitland or Visser would be his replacement, to maximise the different styles and options available to Gatland.

One possible bolter I'm surprised hasn't been mentioned is Eli Walker, who was outstanding in the Heineken Cup. His pace, and ability to dance away from defenders should have been rewarded with some gametime in the 6 Nations, and another outstanding display could force him in the reckoning as an alternative to Zebo or Gilroy.

Outside Centres

The only reason this man is not a certainty is the slightly below par performance in the last 6 Nations, but for me, not only does O'Driscoll travel, he travels as captain. I would want someone who has been on a Lion's tour before, who is a leader and who already has the respect of the other players in other nations. I believe experience on tour is important, therefore O'Driscoll is the only option. Warburton, Alun Wyn Jones and Robshaw will be valuable on field leaders too.

I would bring two outside centres, and not only did Jonathan Davies rule himself out with some shocking early displays, but Tuilagi almost definitely nailed a spot in the side, so that would be my two on tour.

Stuart Hogg is able to cover here if needed.

Inside Centres

I very nearly didn't have Roberts in here after a lacklustre start. He came good in the end, and produced a monstrous performance against England.

Besides him there aren't too many quality inside centres about. Brad Barritt is probably favourite, but to go along with my original criteria of options, I think Luke Marshall or Billy Twelvetrees as second five-eighths are realistic bolters. Twelvetrees would probably be ahead due to a little bit more experience, but all depends on the next few weeks, with this position being the most open as April 30th approaches.

Out Halves

Owen Farrell performed beyond his years, and showed an admirable calm. His goakicking was very impressive, and with a lack of alternatives, will get on the plane. It will at least pacify the English supporters. His ability to cover centre will provide very useful also.

For me, even now, provided he's nearly back from injury, it's Jonny Sexton's place on the test team to lose.

My preference is for 3 out-halves to go. But there isn't much beyond those two players. Wilkinson will not be considered, and rightly so.

If Ian Madigan plays like he did last weekend for the next few weeks he is in with a bolter possibility.

 Other non-contenders are Freddie Burns, Toby Flood, Duncan Weir, Paddy Jackson, Ruaridh Jackson.

Leaving just Dan Biggar or Rhys Priestland. Preistland is a favourite of Gatty, but Priestland isn't expected to return to training until June which would represent a stupid gamble.

Scrum Halves

Phillips obviously delighted he's got my pick

Mike Phillips finally got in the groove in the 6 Nations with a great performance against England. He is another example of a move to France gone badly.

He will definitely be on the plane, as Bayonne should be out of the Top14 at this stage. But he will need time to get properly back up to speed.

There will be 2 other 9's in the squad between Danny Care, Conor Murray, Greig Laidlaw and Ben Youngs.

I thought Laidlaw had a great tournament, and his ability to cover ten should solve some problems and get him on the plane.

I can't see both Ben Youngs and Danny Care on the tour, and Gatland would go for the incumbent in the 9 jersey, especially as Care had two howlers against Wales and Italy.

Conor Murray is at a huge disadvantage, as despite one of his best campaigns, he is more of a Mike Phillips lite at this stage, and it wouldn't make much sense to bring both and reduce the options available to you.

Loosehead Prop

Cian Healy is a certain tourist for me. And I had Gethin Jenkins down as a certain tourist after his 6 Nations finish, but with Gatland's comments during the week about France-based players I'm not so sure.

I think that'll probably rule Andrew Sheridan out and mean the Jenkins will be free, but it's far from certain.

Which is unfortunate as I think Sheridan would be useful in Australia. With the new prop rules, I think there will be 9 front row players travelling, meaning that there is space for one more loosehead prop.

Tom Court and Dave Kilcoyne did not step up in Healy's brief absence and are ruled out. Alex Corbisiero is injured and not good enough to be an automatic pick. He might have made it if it weren't for the injury.

Mako Vunipola impressed a little, but like with the scrum-halves, Gatland won't pick back up players over an incumbent, and I don't think Joe Marler impressed as much as he needed to.

Which leaves Ryan Grant. For me, Grant had a good tournament, and was even better in November, where he was the only Scottish player to come out with his reputation enhanced. He would be a great choice for 3rd choice loosehead prop.

Hooker

First off, I would love if Strauss toured. I think his work at the breakdown would be priceless down there, and his ball-carrying would be vital. He is injured, and will be back at the start of April. He has a chance, but I'm going to assume that he won't make it.

Rory Best is the next best in terms of work at the breakdown, and the rest of Best's game means that for me, he is head and shoulders above the rest of the competition, and must travel.

There was a lot of talk about Richard Hibbard going into the 6 Nations, but he didn't deliver until the end. And with a lack of alternatives, he's probably guaranteed a spot too.

Which leaves one spot. Which is almost definitely going to Tom Youngs. I must admit, I'm not sure what the fuss is about Youngs. He's done ok, but he's not ripping trees out of the ground. He'll be a good player in a year or two, but not as good as the English are making him out to be.

Ross Ford did ok this 6 Nations and I think should be in with a shout. But probably not.

Tighthead Prop

Two of the most certain names on the tour are Adam Jones and Dan Cole. Both are among the best in the world in this position.

Mike Ross, Euan Murray and Geoff Cross are the other contenders. There is no match on a Sunday for the Lions, so that won't count against Murray this time, and I think he's coming into some good form and is the best of these 3.

Second Row.

Paul O'Connell made his return to Munster at the weekend, scoring a try and being excellent and lasting 80 minutes. I would wrap him in cotton wool from here until the Lions as he is a text starter.

O'Connell has that persona that lifts everyone around him, demands 110% from everyone and is respected. He is a leader and a serious contender for captain.

Alun Wyn Jones is another back from injury and was peerless against England. He also travels and probably starts for me.

Nathan Hines might be put off by Gatland's comments, but he's left his club in the Top 14 before to play for the Lions, and this is against his home country so he might.

Jim Hamilton tore up lineouts in the 6 Nations, and completely outshone his more vaunted partner Richie Gray, who was terrible.

Geoff Parling was the better of an impressive English 2nd row combination, and Donnacha Ryan is in with a shout as he can cover 6, but I'd have O'Connell, Jones, Parling, Hamilton and Hines. Hines can cover 6, but with his availability in question then Ryan gets in.

Openside Flanker

I'll do openside flanker first, as it'll be easier with selection.

Not really much to say here. It'll have to be a genuine openside.

Justin Tipuric and Sam Warburton. Both awesome in the last game, with Tipuric especially showing great form for a while now. Both travel as the 2 7's. The only genuine openside's available, and both are in form. Both to travel. Might see point play together at some point.

Blindside Flanker

Chris Robshaw was outstanding in the 6 Nations, and probably deserves to go as a blindside, with O'Brien next in line. Kelly Brown will be unlucky and probably miss out. Dan Lydiate is returning from injury and is one of the few who could just walk into the tour if he proves his fitness.

Tom Wood is unlucky, but he is behind each player mentioned.






No 8

Toby Faletau was the 3rd best 8 on display in the 6 Nations. Unfortunately the first 2 were Louis Picamoles and Sergio Parisse.

Jamie Heaslip had a poor tournament, and needs a strong return with Leinster to get back in the reckoning. His reputation means he'll be there or thereabouts.

Johnnie Beattie did well, but he could be involved in the Top 14 for Montpeiller, thus not helping his chances.

Ben Morgan is another contender, but he didn't play much through injury and hasn't impressed much.

One left wing bolter would be Gareth Delve, who is playing with Melbourne Rebels, would know a lot about the Australians and would be used to the pitches and style of play. The English would also be calling for Billy Vunipola as a bolter, but it would be unlikely.

My Squad (37) ;

Halfpenny, Kearney, Hogg
North, Cuthbert, Zebo, Maitland
O'Driscoll, Tuilagi
Roberts, Marshall
Sexton, Farrell, Biggar
Phillips, Laidlaw, Youngs
Healy, Jenkins, Grant
Best, Hibbard, Youngs
Jones, Cole, Murray
O'Connell, Jones, Hamilton, Parling, Hines
O'Brien, Robshaw
Warburton, Tipuric,
Faletau, Heaslip

6 Nations Midway Lions Watch

With only two international games left before Gatland picks his touring squad, these are the players that have been putting their hands up, and where there are spots still up for grabs.

Loosehead. I'm assuming three will travel, two of which are Cian Healy, and Gethin Jenkins; who seems to be returning to something resembling top form. The last spot is between Ryan Grant (Scotland), Joe Marler, Paul James and Andrew Sheridan, with replacements from Ireland and Scotland not impressing. Vunipola won't go unless he usurps Marler between now and the end of the competition. Much was expected of Ryan Grant, but he hasn't impressed as much as in November. The doubts for Andrew Sheridan emanate from his lack of internationals recently, and whether Toulon will release him in time for the tour. Paul James is an outside bet after Jenkin's injury.

Safe: Healy, Jenkins. Next in line; James, Sheridan, Grant, Marler

At hooker, Rory Best has cemented his place with some great performances around the park, aside from his dodgy throwing in the first half of the Scottish game. He brings the sort of leadership that will be invaluable on tour. One of Tom Youngs and Dylan Hartley will travel, and possibly both, with Ross Ford and Richard Hibbard the only other contenders. Ford is showing glimpses of why he was a Lion before, and Wales are calling for Hibbard's inclusion in the test team, but I've yet to be convinced. Richardt Strauss is a very left field selection, but would point to Gatland emphasising the break-down as an area of importance. Safe: Best; Next, Youngs, Hartley, Hibbard, Ford, Strauss

Tighthead, where again I'm assuming three, of which Dan Cole and Adam Jones are miles ahead of everyone. With no Sunday games, and a decent showing of form, Euan Murray is ahead of Mike Ross, who offers little else other than the scrum.

Safe; Cole, Jones. Next in line; Murray, Ross

Second Row is difficult as there doesn't seem to be a current world class star amongst the ranks. Launchbury and/or Parling may develop into world class standard, but they aren't there yet. Both are likely to travel. I've been impressed with the Scottish lineout and how it dismantled Ireland's, but it was more Jim Hamilton in particular and Ali Kellock than Richie Gray catching my eye. Donnacha Ryan and Mike McCarthy have been good this year, but it's hard to say whether either have been Lions quality. With Wales's second row stocks shallow, AW Jones's return will be welcome. Nathan Hines is in the same boat as Andrew Sheridan, but there is less competition for Hines, and Hines has shown before his willingness to leave his Top 14 club to play for the Lions

Contenders: hines, Parling, Launchbury, Ryan, Jones, Hamilton, Kellock, Gray, Lawes, McCarthy

Back Row

There are a number of contenders in the backrow. Jamie Heaslip is in danger of not travelling unless he shows up in a few games. Sean O'Brien is a certainty. Dan Lydiate needs to come back from injury as he will be needed in Australia. Warburton's place is under threat, and Tipuric has to be a traveller too. Faleatau is approaching form and all the Welsh near form are in with a shout with Gatland as head coach. I think Kelly Brown would be a smart pick and a great tourist. Johnnie Beattie has been in good form in France and for Scotland too and is in with a shout. Tom Wood and Robshaw are pushing hard for calls too. Ryan Jones is another outside bet, who might get there after impressing after a long run of no form, especially as he can cover 2nd row. Armitage is another Top 14 player that the English want included, but I don't think he's good enough to make it. Tom Croft is coming back from injury and has the potential to go aswell

Safe: O'Brien, Next: Robshaw, Tipuric, Warburton, Lydiate, Brown, Faletau, Beattie, Wood, Heaslip, Croft, Morgan, Jones

Scrumhalf

Seems a wide open race. At the very least the scrumhalves seem to be playing better than in November when all tried to play themselves out of the race. Laidlaw has been very good for Scotland, but I think he is a better outhalf than scrumhalf. His versatility is likely to earn him a spot at least. Like the English hookers one or both of Youngs and Care are likely to go, and it seems a direct choice between Phillips and Murray for a bruising type of scrumhalf which could help in the breakdown in Australia. Gatland is a fan of Phillips and his Lions experience would give him an edge.

Contenders, Laidlaw, Youngs, Care, Phillips, Murray,

Outhalf; I'm backing Sexton to be first choice, and Farrell seems to be the next in line. There aren't too many others, which suggests that anyone who plays for any of the countries is in with a shout. For England there'll be Toby Flood and Freddie Burns, Scotland will have Ruaridh Jackson, Wales have Biggar and Hook and Ireland will be showcasing Paddy Jackson and Madigan. First off, it won't be either Jackson or Madigan. Hook has a chance due to his versatility. Gatland doesn't seem to like Biggar even though he seems good to me. I think he'd prefer to take a gamble on Priestland's fitness rather than go with Biggar. Which leaves either Flood or Burns. Personally, I'd like to see Burns have a go. I think he's a fantastic talent and capable of something extraordinary. Flood has never seemed international standard, and has just been keeping the jersey warm for the youngsters to come through. He's made the most of his ability and fair play, but he isn't Lions material.

Safe: Sexton, Farrell, Next in line; Priestland, Biggar, Hook, Flood, Burns.

Inside Centre

Jamie Roberts is leading the race, but hasn't done enough to be considered a certainty for me. Matt Scott has had an industrious campaign, and is in consideration, and Brad Barritt has also done well and is a likely contender. Billy Twelvetrees and Luke Marshall are two young bolters who have both had one impressive game. More impressive gametime for either might get them a nod as they can offer alternative skills to Roberts and Barritt. It's unlikely that both Marshall and Twelvetrees would go though, and either would still be a left-field call.

Contenders: Roberts, Barritt, Twelvetrees, Marshall, Scott

Outside Centre

Brian O'Driscoll and Manu Tuilagi seem to be the frontrunners and have left Jonathan Davies behind. It's unlikely 3 will travel, so Davies might miss out. Hogg is able to cover 13 if necessary anyway.

Safe: O'Driscoll, Tuilaigi; Missing out: Davies

Wingers

Wingers are judged on ability to score tries, work ethic and defensive capibilities. There are a great mix of wingers available to Gatland. In Scotland Maitland and Visser are pushing for selection without being fantastic, Maitland is an intelligent player, and Visser is a finisher. In England Ashton is a poacher who needs work done for him. He is almost in direct competition with Visser even though they play opposite sides. Ashton's form isn't great though. In Wales Eli Walker hasn't got a look in and must be discounted, leaving Cuthbert and North as main challengers. Cuthbert is a tryscorer, and North is probably the most certain of all wingers being pacey and strong. The Irish wingers seem to have been struck down by various injuries. Bowe and Zebo could be included, but probably won't be fit in time. Gilroy is another outside bet as he offers something a little different to the other wingers. Fitzgerald hasn't gotten a look in, but would be good enough, while Earls and McFadden aren't good enough.

Safe: North; Contenders: Cuthbert, Visser, Maitland, Gilroy. Ashton, Bowe, Zebo

Full back.Leigh Halfpenny has been outstanding for 4 years now. He is as certain as anyone could be. Stuart Hogg is pushing hard too. Rob Kearney went from being a certainty to being close to not travelling. He has enough about him to get there, but hasn't fully rediscovered his form since returning from injury. If he finds it any time from now until the team announcement, he'll be on the plane. Alex Goode, Ben Foden and Mike Brown are all in with a shout, and with most of these players able to cover other positions, don't be surprised if as many of these as possible are selected.

Safe: Halfpenny, Contenders; Hogg, Kearney, Goode, Foden, Brown

It's going to be a big 6 Nations for...

Loosehead Prop:

Ryan Grant
Gethin Jenkins
David Kilcoyne
Tom Court
Joe Marler

not including: Cian Healy

With Cian Healy should be at least guaranteed a touring spot, there are one and probably two loosehead spots up for grabs. With one main Scottish contender, three Welsh, two English and possibly two more Irish contenders. Ryan Grant seems to be making a name for himself up in Scotland, and recently was promoted to vice captaincy. With Jenkins not on top form, and Corbisero injured, he might just sneak on the plane, but a strong competition is needed. Speaking of Jenkins, I wouldn't be convinced he is guaranteed of his place in the Welsh team, but whoever gets the loosehead spot in the Welsh team has a great chance of making the plane too. Marler has a slight chance, but I'd be worried about his indiscipline, and he seems a bit raw. Dave Kilcoyne and Tom Court have both been in exceptional form. If either get a decent amount of game time, and no one else pulls up trees, Gatland might be inclined to pick one of these. It's unlikely, but not unheard of.

Hooker:

Dougie Hall
Richard Hibbard
Rory Best
Dylan Hartley

Hooker is the first position where no one has made a strong claim to the jersey. Most people outside of Scotland may have expected Ross Ford to be selected, but Dougie Hall has shown strongly this season, and has a chance to stake his claim for a plane seat. Matthew Rees seems to have fallen from grace from the Welsh side aswell, and there are calls for Hibbard to be the test hooker. I must admit I haven't seen too much of him, so will be watching with extra attention on Saturday. Dylan Hartley is a good player. An arrogant so and so, with a discipline problem though. I have to admit, I'm not sure I want him on the tour. Rory Best brings leadership and scrummaging prowess. He has a good chance, but I've been worried about his line-out throwing, especially recently. It hasn't been good in the Heineken Cup.

I would love for Richardt Strauss to be involved, as I think he offers different attributes especially at the breakdown that no other hooker offers. Sean Cronin has an outside chance, as he the best ball handling hooker out of those mentioned, but needs a lot more game time to come into the reckoning.

Tighthead:

Mike Ross
Euan Murray

With Cole and Jones so far ahead of the rest, and Gatland might not even bring a third tighthead, but it has to be between Mike Ross and Euan Murray. It's all about scrums. With no games being played on Sunday, this means Murray won't be excluded from anything. It's a toss up, neither o 

not including : Dan Cole, Adam Jones

Second Rows:

Ali Kellock
Richie Gray

Joe Launchbury
Courtney Lawes
Mouritz Botha
Geoff Parling

Ian Evans
Donnacha Ryan

Mike McCarthy

Second Row is another where not many have put there hands up. Let me say now, that if Paul O'Connell plays any amount of minutes in at least two matches before April 30th, no matter what matches they are, I think he should go. He is a man that commands respect, and a titan of the game. His leadership and experience would be vital and lift everyone on tour. Richie Gray just needs to show something small to show that playing on two losing teams hasnt affected him. After that there are places up for grabs. Kellock is a fantastic line-out operator, Ryan is a great tackler and workhorse. Last year I thought Lawes was a certainity, but now he can't get in the team. Launchbury could be a bolter and has impressed.

The second row race is wide open, and any good performances will not go unnoticed.

BackRow


Kelly Brown
Johnnie Beattie

Chris Robshaw
Tom Wood
Ben Morgan

Justin Tipuric
Sam Warburton
Toby Faletau

Peter O'Mahony
Chris Henry
Jamie Heaslip
Stephen Ferris

There is so much competition for places in the back row. All 4 home nations captains are back rowers. And with Sean O'Brien almost guaranteed a place in the touring party, and Dan Lydiate another certainity, it's likely that one of the captains won't be picked. On blindside, Fez if fit travels. Same sort of reasoning as Paulie. And with Lydiate there too, it doesn't leave too much for another blindside. Kelly Brown can cover all positions, but is mostly a 6. I think he'd be a great person to tour, as captain of the midweek side and performing well with Saracens.

I don't think Chris Robshaw is a 7. Nor do I think he is a backrower. He has some leadership skills, without great decision making skills, tackles a lot, but isnt that effective at ballcarrying as a back rower could be. In my eyes he is a short second row.

Conventional Opensides are essential, which leaves Tipuric, Warburton and Ross Rennie. I'd include Henry and O'Donnell, but then I'm just being irish. They won't go.

Jamie Heaslip probably has the most cushiest of positions of the captains. There arent too many 8s in contention, Ben Morgan needs a good showing, and Faletau needs to rediscover form. Beattie has performed well recently to give him a shout, but Heaslip is a distance ahead.

not including: Sean O'Brien



Scrumhalf

Greg Laidlaw



Danny Care
Ben Youngs
Mike Phillips
Conor Murray

Another position where no contender has pushed ahead. Care is possibly the best, but discipline problems cost him. And he isn't starting giving Youngs an advantage. It'll be interesting to see how Laidlaw goes at 9, or if Pyrgos gets a go. Laidlaw's versatility may help his cause. Murray needs to improve substantially. He is too similiar a player to Phillips for me to take both. I'd prefer to have complimenting scrumhalves, and Murray is behind Phillips for me. Saturday will be a test for both.

Out Half

Dan Biggar

James Hook

Owen Farrell

Toby Flood

Freddie Burns

Jonny is nailed on test spot. Farrell has been showing the most promise too, and will probably travel as he can cover centre too. It'll be between himself and Hook for that slot, and it looks like Hook wont start. Biggar has a big chance with Priestland out. I'm a fan of Biggar and think he can do it. Burns has the potential to be a bolter, but whether he gets a chance is another thing. I'd love to see it.

not including: Jonathan Sexton

Inside Centre

Billy Twelvetrees

Brad Barritt

I love the idea of bringing Billy Twelvetrees. If he can show that he is able for this level then I would bring him. He would offer a different attacking option to bring on instead of Jamie Roberts or Jonathan Davies or whoever plays 12. Brad Barritt wasn't rated by me at first, but he is solid in defence, and not totally useless in attack, a promising campaign for either helps their cause.

not including: Jamie Roberts

Outside Centre

Brian O'Driscoll

Manu Tuilagi

It seems strange to include the great man as needing a big campaign. It'll be his last, and his presence lifts players much like Paulie. A good campaign could see him as captain.

not including: Jonathan Davies

Wingers

Tim Visser

Sean Maitland

Chris Ashton

Alex Cuthbert

George North

Craig Gilroy

Simon Zebo

Luke Fitzgerald

Eli Walker

Another area where we are blessed with such outrageously talented options. I mean, pick 4 of those players, not forgetting Tommy Bowe, and you have 4 great wingers that would grace any Lions squad. Big campaigns needed to get on the plane, and further competition right up until test time.

If it were up to me, I would try and bring as much balance and have wingers offering different things. Gilroy and North are both quality players, but bring different threats to the team. 

Fullback

Stuart Hogg

Rob Kearney

Ben Foden

Mike Brown

Alex Goode

Lee Byrne

Just like the wingers, except there are two main contenders. Kearney hasn't been himself since he's been back, so a good tournament will help him. Apart from that, the others have all displayed versatility, and all are extremely talented. It's a surprise Foden wasn't in the 23 for England. It's going to be a tight race.

not including: Leigh Halfpenny

My touring squad;

Cian Healy, Ryan Grant, Gethin Jenkins,

Rory Best, Richard Hibbard, Richardt Strauss / Dylan Hartley

Adam Jones, Dan Cole, Euan Murray

Gray, Hines, Launchbury , O'Connell/ Kellock

O'Brien, Ferris / Brown , Lydiate

Warburton, Tipuric,

Heaslip, Beattie,

Phillips, Youngs, Care,

Sexton, Biggar, Farrell,

Twelvetrees, Roberts,

O'Driscoll, Davies,

Halfpenny, Bowe/ Visser, North, Gilroy/ Fitzgerald, Maitland

Kearney, Hogg, Goode

I know there are question marks there, especially in the back three. And I want 36 to go. Apart from that, I'd be confident of 90% of those travelling.

Back three, second row and back row are the toughest.

Lions certainties

Before the start of the 6 Nations, I wanted to do a few posts on the Lions; starting with who I think is a certainity to either a) go, and b) start in the text XV.

Starters.
1. Cian Healy
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8. Heaslip
9.
10. Sexton
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.

That might be my Irish bias talking, but let me explain those.

Jonathan Sexton is the Lions 10, injury permitting. That's probably the only call that everyone in Europe agrees on, and he's in good form.

Being a 6 Nations captain gives you a boost to travel, and with not much alternatives in the number 8 shirt, Heaslip is almost a shoo in.

Cian Healy has been phenomenal so far this season, and with Jenkins his nearest challenger not getting enough gametime in Toulon, and Andrew Sheridan not certain of making with no English appearances, there is no one to stop him.

Other near certainities to travel include;

Rory Best, given the strength of the Irish hookers, and the leadership qualities that Best brings, he will certainly travel. I'm not backing Hartley to go, as I think he has too many disciplinary problems to be considered a definite.

Dan Cole and Adam Jones, both will go, but there is huge competition between these two for the test spot which is why I left it open.
Richie Gray, before the season, I had Gray as one of the few definites, but he has been involved in two poor teams which might affect him. Remains to be seen.

Paul O'Connell, less likely to go due to injuries, but I maintain that his presence on the tour would lift everyone, worth bringing if he can prove he can last a few games.

Sean O'Brien, He should start, but it's a question of where, depends on the other options in the back row, although there is a distinct possibility he mightn't due to
Stephen Ferris, who starts if he's 50% fit. What a colossus this man is. Thing is, he is rarely that fit.
Kelly Brown, I think Brown is a super player. Although he is one of the names mentioned here that I don't think will start in the test team. His presence on the touring squad would be a positive one, and I see him as a potential midweek captain.

Owen Farrell will probably go given his good form recently, and his ability to cover the centers. He's nowhere near Sexton though, and there aren't too many other 10's. This all depends if he starts in the 6Nations.

There are so many quality wingers in contention to go, so I don't want to name one that definitely will, but probably George North is ahead of everyone else at the moment.

Brian O'Driscoll, like Ferris and POC, if BOD is fit, he goes. His presence raises those around him. Jonathan Davies is pushing him hard for a test spot though.
Jonathan Davies, With the man above him meaning his XV place isn't guaranteed, I foresee at least one game where one of them places 12.

Rob Kearney and Leigh Halfpenny. Halfpenny has had an amazing year in the presence of mediocrity by his teammates at all levels. Kearney is just back from injury and would have been my front runner. Both will go, but it's close after that.

Australia Training Squad

Seen here

As it's a Lions year this is particularly interesting.

Having said that, with 49 named, there isn't much scope for controversy.

However, two things to note. 1. Israel Folau is not selected, 2. Quade Cooper is.

Folau is a young rugby league convert, who dabbled in Aussie Rules for a bit, suggesting he'll be fit and talented in the air. It is surprising to me that Deans didn't think he warranted a look at.

Lions Watch

With most 6 nations squads about to be announced, it's worth having a look at some of the players that shone over the weekend.

Eli Walker.

How this man hasn't gotten a Wales cap yet I don't know. According to wikipedia, he hasn't got an underage cap either, which would be astonishing. What a year he is having. He looks accomplished against the very best in the Heineken Cup and should walk onto the Welsh team irregardless of the incumbents in the jersey. From Welsh wing at the moment. A back three of Walker, Halfpenny and North excites. Only just outshone by Kahn Fotuali'i at the weekend. A mention to for Niall Morris who played well in this game too.

Owen Farrell

I feel like I have to mention him after that kicking display. Owen, I'm not your biggest fan, but respect where it's due. Probably going on tour as he can cover centres.

Tom Court.

Now, I'm not for one second suggesting that he should be in the Lions. But I can't let that awesome scrummaging performance go without giving him a kudos. Signal to Deccie not to discard him yet. With Kilcoyne answering nicely yesterday and another Irish loosehead's awesome performance, Irish loosehead props are in rude health.

Cian Healy.

The aforementioned awesome performance. It may only have been 40 minutes, but it was packed full of stats that players dream of over 80. Has to be nailed on for the Lions no.1 jersey.

Luke Fitzgerald.

The Luke that we have been expecting for years is beginning to show up. What a performance. Packed with impact and enthusiasm, and more importantly with a smile on his face. Things are looking up for Fitzgerald, Leinster, Ireland and possibly more if he keeps it up.

Mike Brown.

Great performance from Brown. He's unlucky that there are so many good fullbacks in England, never mind the British Isles, otherwise he'd be a shoo-in. As it is, he might miss out. He's on form though, and performing better than Foden. Notable performances from Care and Easter too.